|Leadership and A New Superpower
[There is no hidden meaning in the
source I chose, it just happened to the be the
first one with a definition of superpower I could
A Page on the World: The Next Superpower?
By Ambassador Rockwell A. Schnabel, Rowman &
Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 2005, ISBN 0742545474.
Reviewed by Darris McNeely
Last May the French voted "no" to the European
Constitution. Ever since, many have speculated that
the European project is stalled or halted. Nothing
could be further from the truth. The European
Community is still a potent force in world affairs
and growing larger. Anyone who thinks Europe will
not be a player, if not the player, on the future
geopolitical scene does not understand our current
The Next Superpower? shows how the structure of the
European colossus is building, one layer at a time.
The core of the book is chapters 2 and 3, "The
European Union as an Economic Superpower" and "The
European Union as a Geopolitical Superpower."
Chapter 2 begins with...
a definition of
"superpower" from the Oxford English Dictionary:
"[a state] which has the power to act decisively
in pursuit of interests which embrace the whole
Unfortunately, my story begins here.
Europe is NOT going to be the next superpower,
one has already quietly arisen. Note by the current
president as a member of the axis of evil, the rise
of Iran as a Global Superpower has come basically un
announced to the world at large.
Take a look at the definition of superpower
Now, here's something to think about as I excerpt
from the Daily Terrorism Briefing produced by
In a U.S. Attack Scenario, Iran Holds Many Cards
Speculating on how Iran might respond to a U.S.
attack against Tehran's nuclear facilities, a member
of the Global Islamic Movement told a Feb. 19
seminar on suicide-bombing tactics at Tehran's
Khajeh Nasir Toosi University that hundreds of
suicide bombers could be unleashed against U.S. and
British troops in Iraq. Mohammed Ali Samadi,
spokesman for the movement's Committee for the
Glorification of Martyrs, might have been simply
responding to U.S. and Israeli pressure on Iran over
its developing nuclear program, though he did point
out one of the many unconventional ways the Iranians
could retaliate for an attack. Iran, however, has
other methods at its disposal.
Historically, the ayatollahs at the helm in Tehran
have demonstrated that they have the means and the
will to strike at their enemies. In the event of a
U.S. attack against Iran, then, Tehran could unleash
Hezbollah, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps
and Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS)
operatives against U.S. interests in the region, and
1. Iran's intelligence apparatus
remains one of the most sophisticated in the
Middle East, due largely to the legacy of
training provided by the CIA to SAVAK, the
Shah's secret police.
2. Because the tactic has worked for Iran
in the past, the Iranians also could conduct a
global assassination and kidnapping campaign,
with targets including Western diplomats and
nongovernmental organization workers, among
3. Western hotels and areas where Western
expatriates congregate would be vulnerable.
Furthermore, these targets could be in the
Middle East, Africa, Latin America or elsewhere.
Hezbollah pioneered the use of the suicide truck
bomb in Lebanon in the early 1980s, its most
notable success being the October 1983 attack
against the U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut.
These skills could be brought to bear on U.S.
interests again as retaliation for an attack
4. Within the Middle East, the Iranians could
disrupt U.S. efforts in Iraq by inciting the
Shia in southern Iraq to attack coalition
forces. Although Iran wants a Shiite-dominated,
and thus Iran-friendly, neighbor -- and inciting
the Shiite population in southern Iraq would
complicate that goal -- a U.S. attack against
Iran could change the Iranian position.
5. Iran also has canned operations -- sleeper
cells that are awaiting activation -- in Latin
America and Southeast Asia.
6. Within the United States, a Hezbollah network
was revealed in the summer of 2004 -- as well as
those supporting any unknown Hezbollah network
-- could be called into action.
7. As a state actor, Iran would have to make
certain to distance itself from any attack
against U.S. or Western interests -- especially
large-scale attacks inside the United States or
Western Europe. As a nation state, Iran would
have to conduct such a retaliatory campaign with
the knowledge that it would be held accountable
for its actions if they were proven to be linked
back to Tehran. Therefore, retaliatory attacks
most likely would be carried out by groups that
do not appear to have direct connections to
Tehran. Unlike a non-state actor such as al
Qaeda or other jihadist group, the Iranian
government has infrastructure, resources and
territory to lose if it were to trigger a
massive U.S. retaliation.
If attacked, Tehran's counterattack likely would
be designed to give the United States so many
fires to put out around the world that it could
not concentrate on Iran."
definition of "superpower" from the Oxford English
Dictionary: "[a state] which has the power to act
decisively in pursuit of interests which embrace the
As a leader, my biggest fear is the
disruption of the global economy. In other words,
actions taken by a superpower, European or otherwise
will affect the majority of the U.S. faster than any
other part of the world for one simple
The U.S. is leveraged in multiple
dependent upon continuous
flow of cheaper and cheaper goods to create
spending leverage with fewer and fewer
dollars of discretionary income available
dependent upon rising
housing prices so refinancing can continue*
to reduce revolving debt
dependent upon low interest
rates to keep housing prices stable, or
dependent upon "consumer
economy" which spends such a large portion
of it's income that it can drive monetary
dependent upon the good will
of energy suppliers, as we now import 60% of
our energy needs
dependent on our optimism,
which drives the psychological constructs
under girding our stock market, housing
bubble, spending and service economy
dependent upon a service
economy where many layers depend on free
spending Americans to support non-nessential
Any serious burp in any one of those
dependencies, along with others too numerous to list
and our service economy will grind to a halt. The
very second that occurs, we'll see broad scale
erosion in all areas of the economy.
What I fear most is economic
It took Ben Bernake's "Japan Plan"
to lift us from disaster as we entered into the
twenty-first century--landing him the seat as Fed
Chairman. Little does the average American know what
keeps him in the position to keep spending and
Now, don't get me wrong, I'm not
against anything here...
I'm not against more than one
superpower, I'm not against muslims or christians,
I'm not against the average joe who wants to have a
life, I'm not against rising real estate...I'm just
trying to figure out what kind of leadership will be
required as the world turns.
In a world with so many complex
caveats, what kind of leadership is necessary at the
global level, and the local level for "people to
have lives"--a favorite statement of Phillip Crosby,
the now-departed quality guru.
I hope you'll join me on my
leave your opinion about the next world leadership
that is now knocking at the door.
time to reach my inner circle….
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